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	<title>VanEck &#8211; Crypto Trading News &amp; Insights: Stay Ahead of the Game</title>
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		<title>Risk-on is back, says VanEck, as Bitcoin decouples and short-term signals fade</title>
		<link>https://cryptonews24.eu/2026/01/markets/risk-on-is-back-says-vaneck-as-bitcoin-decouples-and-short-term-signals-fade.html</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Jan 2026 16:56:09 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[bitcoin news]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Markets]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[VanEck]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://cryptonews24.eu/2026/01/crypto-news/risk-on-is-back-says-vaneck-as-bitcoin-decouples-and-short-term-signals-fade.html</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<a href="https://cryptonews24.eu/2026/01/markets/risk-on-is-back-says-vaneck-as-bitcoin-decouples-and-short-term-signals-fade.html"><img width="150" height="150" src="https://cryptonews24.eu/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/20260113_1511_Image-Generation_simple_compose_01kevbmvk2fh7rw2v78k67h646-1-150x150.png" alt="Risk-on is back, says VanEck, as Bitcoin decouples and short-term signals fade" align="left" style="margin: 0 20px 20px 0;max-width:100%" /></a><p>Diya Poddar</p>
<p><a href="https://cryptonews24.eu/2026/01/markets/risk-on-is-back-says-vaneck-as-bitcoin-decouples-and-short-term-signals-fade.html" rel="nofollow">Risk-on is back, says VanEck, as Bitcoin decouples and short-term signals fade at Crypto Trading News &amp; Insights: Stay Ahead of the Game.</a></p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul>
<li data-start="82" data-end="473">VanEck noted that <a href="https://cryptonews24.eu/2026/03/bitcoin-news-now/technical-indicators-in-crypto-trading-a-general-overview-2.html" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c="5" title="Bitcoin">Bitcoin</a> has decoupled from stock and gold markets after the October deleveraging.</li>
<li data-start="82" data-end="473">Justin d’Anethan said Bitcoin’s rise in a low-leverage environment shows excess speculation has eased.</li>
<li data-start="82" data-end="473">Michaël van de Poppe predicted bitcoin could hit $100,000 after a clean move above $92,000.</li>
</ul>
<p data-start="82" data-end="473">Global investment management firm VanEck believes the first three months of 2026 could favour a risk-on environment, as investors regain something markets have lacked for years: clearer direction on key policy forces.</p>
<p data-start="82" data-end="473">In a Q1 2026 outlook <a href="https://x.com/vaneck_us/status/2010860384962425139" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">published on Tuesday</a>, the firm pointed to improving visibility around US fiscal conditions, monetary policy expectations, and major investment themes.</p>
<p data-start="475" data-end="745">That set-up is typically supportive for riskier corners of the market, such as AI and tech stocks, as well as crypto.</p>
<p data-start="475" data-end="745">However, VanEck said Bitcoin is sending a different message, with short-term signals becoming harder to trust after a break in its usual cycle behaviour.</p>
<h2 data-start="747" data-end="802">VanEck sees clearer policy conditions for early 2026</h2>
<p data-start="804" data-end="1126">VanEck said markets are entering 2026 with “visibility,” framing it as a more stable phase compared to the uncertainty that dominated previous years.</p>
<p data-start="804" data-end="1126">The firm’s base case is that investors will face fewer shocks linked to fiscal and monetary decisions, creating a backdrop where risk assets can perform more confidently.</p>
<p data-start="1128" data-end="1374">It added that improved clarity around policy direction is part of what makes the first quarter attractive for risk-taking.</p>
<p data-start="1128" data-end="1374">At the same time, VanEck stressed that its views are medium-term in nature, rather than based on short-lived market events.</p>
<h2 data-start="1376" data-end="1432">Bitcoin cycle break complicates the near-term picture</h2>
<p data-start="1434" data-end="1710">Despite expecting supportive conditions for risk assets, VanEck said bitcoin’s typical four-year cycle “broke in 2025,” making it difficult to rely on traditional timing signals.</p>
<p data-start="1434" data-end="1710">The firm said this has contributed to a more cautious stance over the next three to six months.</p>
<p data-start="1712" data-end="2011">VanEck also noted that not everyone inside the company shares the same level of caution, with some executives still taking a more constructive view on bitcoin’s immediate cycle.</p>
<p data-start="1712" data-end="2011">The split highlights how unclear the near-term set-up has become, even as broader macro direction appears easier to read.</p>
<h2 data-start="2013" data-end="2060">Bitcoin decouples after October deleveraging</h2>
<p data-start="2062" data-end="2311">VanEck also flagged that bitcoin has decoupled from stock and gold markets in recent months.</p>
<p data-start="2062" data-end="2311">The move followed a major deleveraging event in October, which changed how bitcoin has traded relative to both equities and traditional safe-haven assets.</p>
<p data-start="2313" data-end="2593">This matters because bitcoin’s correlation with other markets has often shaped how investors position it in a broader portfolio.</p>
<p data-start="2313" data-end="2593">If those relationships weaken, it becomes harder to treat bitcoin as a simple extension of risk sentiment, particularly when leverage conditions shift.</p>
<h2 data-start="2595" data-end="2650">Analysts debate the next move as BTC retests $92,000</h2>
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<p data-start="0" data-end="303" data-is-last-node="" data-is-only-node="">Crypto investor <a href="https://x.com/WClementeIII/status/2010534244364501498" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Will Clemente said</a> the current mix of market and geopolitical conditions is closely aligned with what Bitcoin was built for.</p>
<p data-start="0" data-end="303" data-is-last-node="" data-is-only-node="">He pointed to pressure on the Fed chair, rising metals as countries diversify reserves, record highs in stocks and risk assets, and increasing geopolitical risk.</p>
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<p data-start="287" data-end="644">Meanwhile, crypto analyst <a href="https://x.com/CryptoMichNL/status/2010810514037751969" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Michaël van de Poppe said</a> he expects Bitcoin to reclaim six figures before the end of January.</p>
<p data-start="287" data-end="644">He noted there has been no dip below the 21-day moving average, with buyers stepping in to accumulate around these levels.</p>
<p data-start="287" data-end="644">He added that a clear move above $92,000 could push BTC to $100,000 within a maximum of 10 days.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://coinjournal.net/news/risk-on-is-back-says-vaneck-as-bitcoin-decouples-and-short-term-signals-fade/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">Risk-on is back, says VanEck, as Bitcoin decouples and short-term signals fade</a> appeared first on <a href="https://coinjournal.net" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">CoinJournal</a>.</p>
<p><a href="https://coinjournal.net/news/risk-on-is-back-says-vaneck-as-bitcoin-decouples-and-short-term-signals-fade/" target="_blank" rel="noopener nofollow"> Risk-on is back, says VanEck, as Bitcoin decouples and short-term signals fade </a></p>
<p> </p>
<p> </p>
<p>Source: https://coinjournal.net/news/risk-on-is-back-says-vaneck-as-bitcoin-decouples-and-short-term-signals-fade/</p>
<p><a href="https://cryptonews24.eu/market-overview">Check our Market Overview </a></p>
<p><em>Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research (DYOR).</em></p>
<p> </p>
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