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Ethereum Price Prediction by End of 2026 from Arthur Hayes

Key Takeaways Hayes bases his call on Ethereum’s institutional role. ETH is testing support around $2,640-$2,660. The zone combines former […]

The post Ethereum Price Prediction by End of 2026 from Arthur Hayes appeared first on Coindoo.

Key Takeaways

  • Hayes bases his call on Ethereum’s institutional role.
  • ETH is testing support around $2,640-$2,660.
  • The zone combines former resistance and trendline support.
  • $2,500 is the next major Fibonacci area.
  • Other end-2026 forecasts remain materially lower.

At the time of writing, ETH traded near $2,660, according to CoinMarketCap data. A move to $10,000 from that area would require an advance of roughly 276% before December 31.

Two very different ETH reference points
$10,000 · Arthur Hayes’ end-2026 prediction
A personal long-term view based on Ethereum’s role as infrastructure for large capital.
$2,640-$2,660 · Immediate daily support
The area ETH needs to defend before the market can argue that the latest recovery remains well supported.

Why Hayes sees room for $10,000

During an interview at Korea Blockchain Week, BitMEX co-founder and Maelstrom CIO Arthur Hayes said Ethereum appeals to him because it can absorb a large allocation. In the CoinDesk interview clip, he said he is less concerned about an exploit suddenly cutting the value of such a position by 75%.

Hayes described Ethereum as the most secure Layer 1 in his view and linked that confidence to its scale and market capitalization. That is an investment judgment, rather than a security measurement established by market value alone.

He also argued that Ethereum underperformed while rivals such as Solana captured faster-moving market narratives, including meme-coin trading. Ethereum’s size has brought trade-offs of its own: a slower path to upgrades, more complex coordination and stronger competition for activity.

Hayes’ confidence that Ethereum can handle large institutional allocations rests on the same challenge shaping its technical roadmap: scaling the network without weakening the security and verification standards those investors rely on. Coindoo recently explored how Ethereum’s Lean roadmap attempts to address that balance.

Other prominent forecasts rely on different conditions

Hayes is not alone in expecting higher ETH prices, though the range of estimates shows that there is no clear consensus around a year-end number.

Arthur Hayes · $10,000
His view focuses on Ethereum’s scale, liquidity and perceived suitability for large capital.
Tom Lee · Around $6,000
Lee’s reported scenario is tied partly to Bitcoin reaching $150,000, making it dependent on a much stronger wider crypto market.
Standard Chartered · $4,000
The bank reaffirmed this end-2026 view in May, citing Ethereum activity and potential demand from stablecoins and tokenization.

Tom Lee’s $6,000 view was reported in connection with a $150,000 Bitcoin scenario, while Standard Chartered’s May note placed more weight on network activity and tokenized-finance demand.

The forecasts start from different assumptions. Hayes focuses on Ethereum’s ability to attract large allocations; Lee’s scenario requires a stronger Bitcoin market; Standard Chartered expects activity and adoption to translate into demand for ETH. Their price figures should therefore be read as conditional views, rather than competing measurements of the same outcome.

ETH is testing a former resistance area near $2,650

The daily chart shows ETH trading just above a $2,640-$2,660 support zone. A horizontal line in that region held price back during the earlier September advance. Over the past eight to ten days, ETH has begun returning to the same area from above.

The rising blue trendline now reaches that range as well. The two references create the closest support area below the market during the current consolidation.

ETH/USD daily chart showing Ethereum near the $2,640-$2,660 support zone, where former horizontal resistance meets rising trendline support; the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement sits near $2,500 below.
The $2,640-$2,660 zone is the immediate support area, while the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement near $2,500 is the next major reference. Source: TradingView.

A brief move below the range followed by a recovery would leave the rising structure largely intact. Continued daily trading beneath it could put the next support area near $2,500 back in focus.

The $2,500 Fibonacci level has recent price history

The 23.6% Fibonacci retracement sits near $2,500, drawn from the visible daily swing between the June low around $1,500 and the latest high near $2,800.

Its importance does not come only from the Fibonacci tool. ETH met repeated resistance and support around $2,500 from late August through mid-September before moving into the current range. That trading history gives the level more context than a Fibonacci line alone.

A return to $2,500 would test whether that earlier trading range can absorb another pullback. Holding and recovering from the area could keep the decline within the broader advance. Continued daily trading below it could bring the rising 50-day simple moving average near $2,435 into view, followed by the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement near $2,310.

The support map beneath the $10,000 call

Hayes’ forecast asks readers to consider how Ethereum could be valued if it becomes a larger destination for institutional capital. The daily chart cannot settle that longer-term argument, but it can show whether buyers are still defending the structure behind the latest recovery.

For now, the first evidence sits around $2,650. If that area gives way, $2,500 becomes the more important test because it combines the 23.6% retracement with a recent stretch of heavy price interaction. How ETH behaves across those levels may offer a clearer reading of the recovery than any year-end prediction alone.


This article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Price forecasts and technical levels are interpretive tools, not guarantees of future market performance.

The post Ethereum Price Prediction by End of 2026 from Arthur Hayes appeared first on Coindoo.

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Source: https://coindoo.com/ethereum-price-prediction-arthur-hayes/

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      Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research (DYOR).  
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